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Introducing Draw Probability. Now in every game analysis on worldchess.com

Yesterday
11:31
2 min
Thumbnail for article: Introducing Draw Probability. Now in every game analysis on worldchess.com
Most of your games don't end the way you think they do. Draw is the most likely outcome when both sides play well — and until now, nothing in your analysis told you when one was actually in reach.

Three curves. One chart.

Green for win. Grey for draw. Orange for loss. No more translating centipawns in your head. You see the shape of the game directly, and understand the draw probability and how it developed over the course of the game. You will know when you had a draw and know when you lost it.

A position evaluated at 0.00 can mean two very different games. A dead draw, where nothing is happening. Or a sharp position where both sides have real winning chances. Same number. Different game. Draw probability tells you which one you were in — and at which exact move it changed.

Play for the right result.

You're defending a worse position. Is it lost, or is it holdable? The draw curve answers that in one glance. If grey is high, you fight for the half point. If orange is taking over, you change plans. Most players resign positions that were still drawable, and push for wins in positions that were already dead. This stops both.

Study the moves that actually mattered.

The moments where the draw curve drops sharply are the moments your game turned. Not where you lost material — where you lost the result. Those are the positions worth replaying. Your analysis now points you straight at them.